Grêmio and Internacional face off in a classic derby for Round 30 of the Brasileirao Serie A 2026. The match kicks off on Sunday 11 October at 21:30 (UK time) at the Arena do Grêmio in Porto Alegre.
Gre-Nal 455 carries unprecedented tension as both Porto Alegre giants clash while submerged inside the relegation zone, separated by a single point in their desperate fight to avoid the drop. Renato Portaluppi’s hosts aim to leverage home turf following a 1-1 draw at Remo, while Eduardo Baptista’s Internacional arrive energized by a vital 2-1 midweek victory over Corinthians. Our prediction for Grêmio vs. Internacional anticipates an uncompromising, high-friction battle where survival instincts take center stage.
Find out where to watch the match and what our expert betting predictions are, as well as the expected lineups for today’s encounter.
Grêmio x Internacional Odds
Odds are subject to change.
Match Overview - Grêmio vs. Internacional
- Both Gaúcho rivals sit inside the bottom four: Internacional occupy 17th position on 31 points, while Grêmio follow in 18th place with 30 points.
- Grêmio have collected all seven of their league victories this campaign at home, maintaining an unbeaten streak in cup meetings against their rivals this year.
- Across 454 all-time official meetings, Internacional hold 166 victories, Grêmio 144, with 144 fixtures ending in stalemates.
Recent Results(Last N Matches)
Season Stats
Head-to-Head Record
- Five of the last eight Serie A derbies staged with Grêmio as the home side have finished level.
- Across their last five meetings across all competitions in 2026, Grêmio hold two victories and three draws, eliminating Inter from the Copa do Brasil.
- Grêmio have required just 7.7 shot attempts per goal scored in the second half of the league season.
- Internacional have conceded 12.0 opponent shots per away match in the league, the lowest volume in Serie A.
- Carlos Vinícius leads Grêmio with 10 Serie A goals this season from an expected goals (xG) return of 7.87.
- Winger Johan Carbonero has recorded seven goals and four assists for Internacional in league action.
Head-to-Head
| Competition | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Copa Do Brasil | GrêmioGRÊ 3-1 | |
| Copa Do Brasil | InternacionalINT 0-0 | |
| Brazil Serie A | InternacionalINT 0-0 | |
| Gaúcho - 1 | InternacionalINT 1-1 | |
| Gaúcho - 1 | GrêmioGRÊ 3-0 |
Grêmio's Home Comforts a Key Factor
Renato Portaluppi’s men enter this fateful derby seeking to halt a four-match winless slide in the league and drag themselves out of the relegation zone.
The Tricolor sit 18th in the standings with 30 points, trailing safety by a solitary point following a frustrating 1-1 away draw against Remo.
Although Grêmio have won only two of their last ten matches across all competitions, their survival bid relies heavily on the Arena do Grêmio, where Portaluppi’s side have secured all seven of their top-flight victories this season.
Portaluppi must reconfigure his midfield due to Dodi’s automatic suspension following his third yellow card in Belém. Peruvian international Erick Noriega returns from his own ban to deputize alongside Mathías Villasanti and Danilo Barbosa, while full-backs Diego Caito and Marlon remain under medical evaluation.
Veteran defender Walter Kannemann anchors the backline ahead of in-form goalkeeper Weverton, while target man Carlos Vinícius—who leads the team with 10 league goals—spearheads the frontline alongside Cristian Pavón and Francis Amuzu.
DateResult | ||
|---|---|---|
RemoREM 1-1 | DrawD | |
GrêmioGRÊ 0-0 | DrawD | |
BotafogoBOT 3-2 | LossL | |
GrêmioGRÊ 1-2 | LossL | |
VitóriaVIT 1-0 | LossL | |
Internacional Seeking Derby Revenge
Eduardo Baptista brings his Colorado squad across town looking to consolidate momentum after a crucial 2-1 midweek victory over Corinthians provided breathing room.
The visitors occupy 17th position with 31 points, determined to avenge their Copa do Brasil elimination against Grêmio earlier in the campaign. While Inter have claimed just one victory in their last ten away matches across all competitions, their tactical discipline remains formidable: Baptista’s unit concedes fewer shots per away match (12.0) than any other side in the division.
Baptista will field an unchanged starting lineup following their midweek triumph. Goalkeeper Anthoni retains the gloves with Sergio Rochet still sidelined, protected by a central trio of Bruno Gomes, Gabriel Mercado and Juninho, with Victor Gabriel available on the bench following his STJD clearance.
Wing-backs Braian Aguirre and Alexandro Bernabei provide wide transitions, while playmaker Alan Patrick orchestrates central avenues to supply Vitinho and Alerrandro.
DateResult | ||
|---|---|---|
InternacionalINT 2-1 | WinW | |
São PauloSÃO 1-0 | LossL | |
ChapecoenseCHA 1-2 | WinW | |
InternacionalINT 2-3 | LossL | |
GrêmioGRÊ 3-1 | LossL | |
Grêmio vs. Internacional Prediction: Derby Honours to be Shared
Grêmio’s home form represents their greatest asset in the survival fight, having taken all seven league victories at the Arena while holding an unbeaten record against Inter this calendar year. Backing "Grêmio to win or draw" on the Double Chance market offers reliable coverage given their domestic stability on home soil
With both squads locked in the relegation dogfight and aware that a defeat would inflict severe psychological damage, caution will govern midfield duels. Considering Inter concede the fewest away shots in the league while Grêmio have tightened central spaces under Portaluppi, backing Under 2.5 goals in the match provides strong value.
Given the immense stakes and historic tendency for caution—with five of the last eight league meetings at this venue ending in stalemates—neither side is likely to risk overcommitting in transition. The primary recommendation is for the match to end in a draw.
| Best Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance | Grêmio to win or draw | |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 goals in the match | |
Where to Watch Grêmio vs. Internacional
Here’s where you can watch Grêmio vs. Internacional:
- TV: no broadcast scheduled
- Streaming: no broadcast scheduled
Grêmio vs. Internacional Predicted Lineups
Both managers face decisive tactical choices with top-flight status on the line. Renato Portaluppi will deploy a compact 4-3-3 shape, tasking Noriega and Villasanti with stifling central creativity before releasing Pavón and Amuzu to isolate Inter’s wing-backs and supply Carlos Vinícius. Eduardo Baptista will counter with a structured 3-4-1-2 block, using Thiago Maia and Villagra to break up play while Alan Patrick searches for Vitinho and Alerrandro in transition.
Grêmio
Weverton; João Pedro, Wallace, Walter Kannemann, Pedro Gabriel; Danilo Barbosa, Mathías Villasanti, Erick Noriega; Cristian Pavón, Carlos Vinícius, Francis Amuzu.
Internacional
Anthoni; Bruno Gomes, Gabriel Mercado, Juninho; Braian Aguirre, Rodrigo Villagra, Thiago Maia, Alexandro Bernabei; Alan Patrick; Vitinho, Alerrandro.
Match Details
Here are the match details:
- Match: Grêmio vs. Internacional
- Competition: Brazil Serie A 2026
- Date: 11/10/2026
- Kick-off: 21:30 (UK Time)
We have plenty more betting tips and expert analysis available for the upcoming fixtures. You can find all of our best predictions on our dedicated page right here.
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