Palmeiras vs Corinthians – Prediction, Where to Watch, Kick-off Time and Lineups 11-10

Palmeiras and Corinthians will meet in Round 30 of the 2026 Brazilian Serie A on Sunday, 11 October, at 20:30 GMT. The derby will take place at Nubank Parque in São Paulo, with both sides under pressure to secure a positive result for very different reasons.

Palmeiras sit second with 60 points, just one behind leaders Flamengo, and could return to the top if they win and their rivals drop points. In contrast, Corinthians are 16th and just one point above the relegation zone, having gone seven league matches without a victory.

With Palmeiras enjoying a strong home record and Corinthians struggling for consistency, the hosts will be favourites. However, the rivalry between these two São Paulo clubs could make this Palmeiras vs. Corinthians encounter extra tense.

Find out where to watch the match and what our sports betting expert predictions are, as well as the expected lineups.

Tip

Palmeiras to win

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Palmeiras x Corinthians Odds

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Midnite	1.62	3.60	5.00
10bet	1.60	3.65	5.75
Betfred	1.62	3.60	5.00
BetMGM	1.65	3.75	5.50

Odds are subject to change

Odds are subject to change.

Match Overview - Palmeiras vs. Corinthians

• Palmeiras have won nine of their 13 home league matches this season, losing only once.
• Corinthians have gone seven consecutive Brazilian Serie A matches without a win and are just one point above the relegation zone.
• Palmeiras beat Bahia 1-0 in their latest league outing, while Corinthians lost 2-1 away to Internacional.
• Corinthians have kept a clean sheet in six of their last ten matches against Palmeiras.
• Palmeiras have lost only one of their 13 home league matches this season.

PalmeirasPAL

VS

CorinthiansCOR

Recent Results(Last N Matches)

VELVV

1Vit.2Emp.2Vit.

|

LLLLE

Season Stats

52%Both Teams to Score44%

2.4Total Goals2.0

56%Goals Conceded60%

1.7Goals Scored1.0

Head-to-Head Record

• The last ten meetings between these sides have produced four Corinthians wins, two Palmeiras victories, and four draws.
• The last ten meetings between these rivals have been low-scoring, with all ten finishing under 2.5 goals.
• An average of just 1.3 goals have been scored across their last ten encounters.

Head-to-Head

PalmeirasPAL

1W

2D

2W

CorinthiansCOR

Competition	Score	Date
Brazil Serie A	CorinthiansCOR 0-0 PalmeirasPAL
Paulista - A1	CorinthiansCOR 0-1 PalmeirasPAL
Brazil Serie A	CorinthiansCOR 1-1 PalmeirasPAL
Copa Do Brasil	PalmeirasPAL 0-2 CorinthiansCOR
Copa Do Brasil	CorinthiansCOR 1-0 PalmeirasPAL

Palmeiras' Analysis

Palmeiras are second in the Brazilian Serie A and have been particularly impressive at home, winning nine of their 13 league matches at Nubank Parque. Their strong record on their own ground gives Abel Ferreira’s side a significant advantage ahead of this derby.

The hosts come into the match after a 1-0 victory over Bahia, a result that brought them within one point of leaders Flamengo. Following their elimination from the CONMEBOL Libertadores, Palmeiras can now concentrate fully on the domestic campaign and the race for the title.

Flaco López has scored eight league goals, while Andreas Pereira has contributed ten assists. Their attacking quality, combined with Palmeiras’ reliable home performances, could prove decisive against a struggling Corinthians side.

DateResult
	PalmeirasPAL 1-0 BahiaBAH	WinW
	GrêmioGRÊ 0-0 PalmeirasPAL	DrawD
	LDU de QuitoLDU 3-2 PalmeirasPAL	LossL
	PalmeirasPAL 2-0 São PauloSÃO	WinW
	PalmeirasPAL 1-0 LDU de QuitoLDU	WinW

Corinthians' Analysis

Corinthians are 16th in the table and have gone seven consecutive league matches without a win. Their latest setback was a 2-1 defeat away to Internacional, followed by the dismissal of head coach Fernando Diniz. With the club only one point above the relegation zone, the derby comes at a difficult moment.

Their away form has also been a concern, with just three wins from 14 league matches on the road. Having conceded 18 goals in those games, Corinthians may struggle to contain a Palmeiras side that has consistently performed well at home.

Rodrigo Garro has been an important creative presence, registering six assists this season, but he will miss the match through suspension. Corinthians will therefore need other players to provide attacking inspiration as they attempt to halt their poor run of results.

DateResult
	InternacionalINT 2-1 CorinthiansCOR	LossL
	CorinthiansCOR 1-3 FluminenseFLU	LossL
	CorinthiansCOR 0-1 Estudiantes L.P.EST	LossL
	FlamengoFLA 2-1 CorinthiansCOR	LossL
	Estudiantes L.P.EST 1-1 CorinthiansCOR	DrawD

Palmeiras vs. Corinthians Prediction: Hosts to Continue Strong Form

Palmeiras have the stronger recent form and an impressive home record, while Corinthians have struggled to collect points both at home and away. Our prediction is Palmeiras to win with a -0.75 Asian handicap, which accounts for the possibility of a narrow victory.

The recent head-to-head record points towards another closely contested derby, with the last ten meetings all producing fewer than 2.5 goals. Given that history, Under 1.5 goals in the first half is an appealing market.

Palmeiras’ home consistency and Corinthians’ seven-match winless league run make the hosts the more convincing option. Our main prediction is Palmeiras to win, as Abel Ferreira’s side look to keep the pressure on league leaders Flamengo.

The odds mentioned were collected during the writing of this prediction and may change. Always check with the bookmaker for the latest information.

		Best Odds
Asian Handicap	Palmeiras to win with a -0.75 Asian handicap	1.57
Over/Under	Under 1.5 goals in the first half	1.35

Where to Watch Palmeiras vs. Corinthians

Palmeiras vs. Corinthians Predicted Lineups

Palmeiras

Corinthians

Match Details

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Tip

Palmeiras to win

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