Greece vs Germany – Prediction, Where to Watch, Kick-off Time and Lineups 04-10

Greece and Germany are set to clash in a UEFA Nations League 2026/27 fixture on Matchday 4 of League A, Group 2. This anticipated encounter kicks off on Sunday, October 4, at 18:45 (GMT) at the Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki.

These two nations faced each other very recently in Augsburg, with Greece securing a historic 1-0 victory away from home. However, with the Germans having bounced back by beating Serbia 2-0 and Greece topping the section after a 2-2 draw with the Netherlands, this return fixture promises to be a high-stakes tactical battle. The prediction for Greece vs. Germany is a very difficult one, nonetheless.

Find out where to watch the match, read our expert analysis and betting predictions, and check the expected lineups for tonight’s encounter.

Tip

Either team to win and under 2.5 goals

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12/25

Greece x Germany Odds

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Midnite	4.00	3.90	1.75
10bet	4.20	3.85	1.75
Betfred	4.20	4.00	1.80
BetUK	4.35	3.85	1.73

Odds are subject to change

Odds are subject to change.

Match Overview - Greece vs. Germany

• Group leaders Greece, unbeaten with seven points from three games, aim to defend their position at the top following a 2-2 home draw with the Netherlands.
• Germany head to Thessaloniki with renewed confidence after securing their first win under Jürgen Klopp with a 2-0 victory over Serbia in Munich.
• While Greece celebrated their first-ever victory over Germany on Matchday 2, Die Mannschaft dominate the historical record with seven wins and three draws from 11 meetings.

GreeceGRE

VS

GermanyGER

Recent Results(Last N Matches)

EVVLE

1Vit.0Emp.2Vit.

|

VLEEL

Season Stats

67%Both Teams to Score33%

2.7Total Goals1.7

67%Goals Conceded67%

1.7Goals Scored1.0

Head-to-Head Record

• Greece’s 1-0 win in Augsburg on Matchday 2 was their first-ever victory against Germany across 11 historical encounters.
• On Greek soil, Germany have won three of their four visits, with one match ending level.
• Ivan Jovanović’s Greece have relished this competition, winning 12 of their last 15 Nations League fixtures.
• Germany enter this clash having scored three goals across their three group matches, netting through Felix Nmecha, Tom Bischof, and Florian Wirtz.
• Fotis Ioannidis, Giorgos Masouras, and Dimitris Kourbelis lead Greece’s tournament scoring charts with one goal each.

Head-to-Head

GreeceGRE

1W

0D

2W

GermanyGER

Competition	Score	Date
UEFA Nations League	GermanyGER 0-1 GreeceGRE
Friendlies	GermanyGER 2-1 GreeceGRE
Euro Championship	GermanyGER 4-2 GreeceGRE

Greece's Momentum and Form

Greece have enjoyed a dream start to their first campaign in League A, sitting atop Group A2 with seven points from three outings. After stunning Serbia (2-1) in Belgrade and edging Germany (1-0) in Augsburg, Ivan Jovanović’s side were held to a 2-2 draw by the Netherlands in Thessaloniki on Thursday, having surrendered a two-goal lead.

Despite that late setback, the Ethniki have established themselves as a formidable, highly organized unit. However, their home record over the past year has been mixed, winning just one of their last five home matches across all competitions.

The hosts have been dealt a major injury blow, as in-form winger Christos Tzolis was forced off against the Dutch with a hamstring injury and is ruled out. Georgios Masouras—who scored and provided an assist off the bench on Thursday—is set to step into the starting lineup alongside strike duo Vangelis Pavlidis and Fotis Ioannidis.

DateResult
	GreeceGRE 2-2 NetherlandsNET	DrawD
	GermanyGER 0-1 GreeceGRE	WinW
	SerbiaSER 1-2 GreeceGRE	WinW
	GreeceGRE 0-1 ItalyITA	LossL
	SwedenSWE 2-2 GreeceGRE	DrawD

Germany Seeks to Bounce Back

Germany breathed a major sigh of relief on Thursday, putting an end to a four-match winless streak by defeating Serbia 2-0 at the Allianz Arena. The victory handed Jürgen Klopp his first competitive triumph in charge of Die Mannschaft, lifting the team to four points and right back into contention for a quarter-final qualification spot.

The attacking performance against Serbia showcased a much sharper collective edge, with 21-year-old Tom Bischof scoring his first international goal and Florian Wirtz delivering an influential playmaking masterclass. Klopp’s revamped, experimental squad has proven competitive, having lost just one competitive away game since early 2025.

Germany continue to navigate key absences, with Jamal Musiala, Kai Havertz, and Nico Schlotterbeck unavailable through injury. Nonetheless, with Serge Gnabry, Maximilian Mittelstädt, and Jonathan Burkardt providing depth, Klopp will challenge his team to assert authority in Thessaloniki and avenge last week’s home slip. Köln’s wunderkind, Said El Mala, can also cap his first international start.

DateResult
	GermanyGER 2-0 SerbiaSER	WinW
	GermanyGER 0-1 GreeceGRE	LossL
	NetherlandsNET 1-1 GermanyGER	DrawD
	GermanyGER 1-1 ParaguayPAR	DrawD
	EcuadorECU 2-1 GermanyGER	LossL

Greece vs. Germany Prediction: A low-scoring match on the cards

Greece’s defensive discipline in a compact 4-4-2 block has caused severe problems for opposition attacks, but the absence of Tzolis removes their primary transitional outlet on the flank. Germany will look to dominate possession through Aleksandar Pavlović and Wirtz, yet their recent visits to well-drilled defenses have often been tight and methodical. This combination suggests that  a "Germany or Draw" outcome is a plausible betting scenario.

With four of Germany’s last four competitive away matches featuring under 2.5 goals, another low-scoring battle is on the cards. While the hosts will look to absorb pressure and strike via set pieces, Germany’s superior depth gives them an edge in the second half. Still, "Under 1.5 goals in the first half" appears to be a sensible choice.

Given Greece’s resilience and Germany’s focus on maintaining defensive solidity, backing "Either team to win and Under 2.5 goals" represents exceptional value for this pivotal group fixture.

The odds mentioned were collected during the writing of this prediction and may change. Always check with the bookmaker for the latest information.

		Best Odds
Double Chance	Germany or Draw	1.28
Over/Under	Under 1.5 goals in the first half	1.53

Where to Watch Greece vs. Germany

Greece vs. Germany Predicted Lineups

Greece

Germany

Match Details

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Tip

Either team to win and under 2.5 goals

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12/25