Monza and Napoli face off in round 9 of the Italy Serie A 2026/27 championship at the U-Power Stadium this Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 (UK time).
Mid-table pressure mounts on Napoli after blowing two separate leads in a chaotic 3-3 home draw with Roma, leaving them 11 points off the summit in their worst eight-game start since 2009. Massimiliano Allegri must watch from the stands following a two-match touchline ban, with his side winless in their last four away outings in all competitions. Monza, by contrast, rely almost entirely on home soil for points, having collected six of their seven points at the U-Power Stadium including a recent 4-0 rout of Cagliari.
With teenage striker Gustavo Varela joint-top of the scoring charts and the Partenopei‘s defense decimated by injuries, our prediction for Monza vs. Napoli backs an open affair where both frontlines find plenty of room. Keep reading for our expert betting predictions and a detailed analysis of this fixture.
Monza x Napoli Odds
Odds are subject to change.
Match Overview - Monza vs. Napoli
- Napoli sit 10th in Serie A with 11 points, winless in their last four away matches across all competitions.
- Monza occupy 15th place on seven points, taking six of those points from three home fixtures.
- Across 18 competitive meetings, Napoli hold eight wins to Monza’s three, with seven draws.
MonzaMON
NapoliNAPRecent Results(Last N Matches)
Season Stats
Head-to-Head Record
- Napoli have lost just one of their last eight competitive meetings against Monza (four wins, three draws).
- The Partenopei have kept a clean sheet in four of their last six visits to the U-Power Stadium.
- Monza are the highest scorers outside the top six in Serie A with 15 goals, with 10 of those arriving after half-time.
- Seven of Monza’s eight Serie A matches this season have seen both teams score.
- Gustavo Varela is Serie A’s joint-top scorer with seven goals in eight appearances for Monza.
- Scott McTominay has scored four goals in his last two appearances for Napoli.
Head-to-Head
MonzaMONNapoliNAP| Competition | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Italy Serie A | MonzaMON 0-1  NapoliNAP | |
| Italy Serie A | NapoliNAP 2-0MonzaMON | |
| Italy Serie A | MonzaMON 2-4NapoliNAP | |
| Italy Serie A | NapoliNAP 0-0MonzaMON | |
| Italy Serie A | MonzaMON 2-0NapoliNAP |
Monza Overview
Ivan Jurić’s side return home looking to put Friday’s 3-2 away defeat at Torino behind them, where Gustavo Varela’s second-half equaliser proved in vain.
While away form remains a chronic issue with just one point collected on the road, the U-Power Stadium has been a productive venue: Monza have won two of their three home league games, scoring seven times and dismantling Cagliari 4-0 in their last outing in front of their own fans.
Defensive balance remains Jurić’s primary challenge. Monza have faced at least five shots on target in each of their last four matches, leaving goalkeeper Noel Törnqvist to lead the division with 5.0 saves per game.
The hosts are without central defender Jan Ziółkowski (foot) and captain Matteo Pessina (knee), while Yvan Maye remains a fitness doubt. That leaves Saba Goglichidze, Lorenzo Lucchesi, and Andrea Carboni in a three-man backline, flanked by wing-backs Samuele Birindelli and Ricardo Mangas.
In midfield, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro and Manga Foe-Ondoa anchor central areas. Up front, Portuguese sensation Gustavo Varela leads the line in red-hot form with seven league goals, supported by Dany Mota and English youngster Jay Robinson.
DateResult | ||
|---|---|---|
TorinoTOR 3-2 MonzaMON | LossL | |
MonzaMON 4-0 CagliariCAG | WinW | |
LazioLAZ 3-1 MonzaMON | LossL | |
Stade Brestois 29STA 2-2 MonzaMON | DrawD | |
MonzaMON 2-3 CremoneseCRE | LossL | |
Napoli Overview
The Partenopei head north under heavy pressure following Saturday’s 3-3 draw against Roma, where they let 2-0 and 3-2 leads slip through their fingers.
The result extended a worrying defensive trend: Napoli have shipped 10 goals in their last four matches in all competitions. Their away record is equally problematic, with just one win from four Serie A road fixtures and no travelling victory since August.
With Massimiliano Allegri serving a two-match touchline ban, assistant staff must manage an injury-ravaged squad. In defense, Benoît Badiashile is ruled out until December with a thigh tear, joining Alessandro Buongiorno (meniscus) and Leonardo Spinazzola (thigh) on the sidelines.
With Amir Rrahmani recovering from illness, Sam Beukema and Rafael Marín are set to start at center-back in front of goalkeeper Alex Meret, flanked by Giovanni Di Lorenzo and Mathías Olivera.
In attack, David Neres, Alisson Santos, and Costantino Favasuli are all unavailable due to thigh injuries. That leaves Rasmus Højlund leading the line, flanked by Matteo Politano and Noa Lang. In midfield, Scott McTominay brings top form after back-to-back braces, partnering Kevin De Bruyne and André-Frank Zambo Anguissa.
DateResult | ||
|---|---|---|
NapoliNAP 3-3 AS RomaAS | DrawD | |
NapoliNAP 4-3 Bodo/GlimtBOD | WinW | |
VeneziaVEN 1-0 NapoliNAP | LossL | |
VillarrealVIL 3-1 NapoliNAP | LossL | |
NapoliNAP 3-0 FrosinoneFRO | WinW | |
Monza vs. Napoli Prediction: Visitors to Secure Victory
Napoli have scored seven goals across their last two fixtures but have also conceded six, highlighting their defensive vulnerability. Monza, meanwhile, have seen seven of their eight league games produce goals at both ends. Backing Both Teams to Score provides a strong, high-probability foundation for this encounter.
Monza have conceded 16 league goals this season, while Napoli’s last two games produced 13 total goals. With Gustavo Varela clinical on the counter and McTominay in free-scoring form from midfield, Over 2.5 total goals fits the profile of two teams that struggle to keep clean sheets.
While Monza are dangerous at home, their defensive line remains exposed against high-caliber playmakers. Napoli possess superior individual quality in De Bruyne and McTominay to edge the contest. Back Napoli on the Moneyline to take all three points.
The odds mentioned were collected during the writing of this prediction and may change. Always check with the bookmaker for the latest information.
  | ||
| Best Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score | Both teams to score | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 goals in total | |
Where to Watch Monza vs. Napoli
Here is where to watch Monza vs. Napoli live:
- TV: TNT Sports 1
- Streaming: HBO Max, DAZN, BetMGM
Monza vs. Napoli Predicted Lineups
Wednesday’s tactical battle features Ivan Jurić’s direct 3-4-2-1 counter-pressing structure against Napoli’s fluid 4-3-3. Monza will aim to press high through Akinsanmiro and Ondoa to disrupt Napoli’s backline build-up, quickly feeding Jay Robinson and Dany Mota to isolate Gustavo Varela against Napoli’s makeshift center-backs. Without Allegri on the touchline, Napoli will rely on Kevin De Bruyne and Scott McTominay to dictate plays and find space between the lines, using wide delivery from Politano and Lang to supply Rasmus Højlund inside the box.
Monza
Noel Törnqvist; Saba Goglichidze, Lorenzo Lucchesi, Andrea Carboni; Samuele Birindelli, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Manga Foe-Ondoa, Ricardo Mangas; Jay Robinson, Dany Mota; Gustavo Varela.
MonzaNapoli
Alex Meret; Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Rafael Marín, Sam Beukema, Mathías Olivera; André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Kevin De Bruyne, Scott McTominay; Matteo Politano, Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang.
NapoliMatch Details
Here are the match details:
- Match: Monza vs. Napoli
- Competition: Italy Serie A 2026/27
- Date: 28/10/2026
- Kick-off: 19:45 (UK Time)
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